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Archive for the ‘For Buyers’ Category

What Experts Forecast for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices in 2027

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What Experts Forecast for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices in 2027 Simplifying The Market

When it comes to housing, two of the biggest questions on everyone’s mind right now are:

  1. What’s next for mortgage rates?

  2. Where will home prices go from here?

And if you’re weighing whether to move in the next few months or wait until 2027, here’s what you should know.

When experts look ahead to 2027, they see a steady housing market. No wild swings. No big surprises. Just a calmer, more balanced market.

And steady makes planning a whole lot easier. Let’s break it down.

Rates Are Expected To Settle into a Steady Range

Lots of people are holding out for lower rates. But the latest forecasts from Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and Wells Fargo show rates holding fairly flat through 2027 (see graph below):

a graph of a graph showing the number of the same time

Lenders see it the same way. In a recent survey from HousingWire, 70% of mortgage executives said they expect rates to be around 7.5% or higher six months from now (see graph below):

a graph of percentages and numbers

And if you’re wondering why, the answer is fairly simple. Chen Zhao, Head of Economics Research at Redfin, says:

“Until the underlying economic fundamentals—everything from oil prices to AI–that are keeping rates high change, mortgage rates are unlikely to fall significantly.”

So what does that mean for you? Instead of trying to guess where rates go next, focus on what you can control. Even if rates don’t budge, there are still ways to get the best rate possible. When you talk with your lender, ask about:

  • Your credit score. Even a small bump in your score could help lower your rate.

  • Different loan types. Some programs offer lower rates or smaller down payments than you might expect.

  • Buying down your rate. Paying a little more upfront (called “points”) can lower your rate and your monthly payment.

That way, you’ll know exactly where you stand and what a comfortable monthly payment looks like for you. 

Prices Should Keep Climbing, Just More Slowly

But what about prices? Here’s where steady really works in your favor. 

Experts don’t see a home price drop coming. On average, forecasts from Fannie Mae, MBA, and Wells Fargo show prices rising about 1% to 1.5% a year through 2027 (see graph below):

a graph of a number of green squares

In plain terms, in most places prices are still going up, just not as fast. For sellers, that means your home should hold onto its value. For buyers, slower growth gives you a little more breathing room. Just don’t count on prices getting cheaper while you wait.

But keep in mind, these are national forecasts. Prices can look very different from one area to the next, so what matters most is what’s happening where you live.

The Best Time To Move Is When It Fits Your Life

When the market is steady, you don’t have to try to time it perfectly. There’s no big swing to wait out.

That puts the focus back on you. Maybe you need more space for a growing family. Maybe you’re ready for less upkeep. A steady market makes it easier to plan for either one.

Bottom Line

If you’re asking yourself should you move now or wait? You should know experts see a steady market through 2027, with rates holding near today’s levels and prices rising slowly. 

So, rather than waiting for a big shift that may not come, connect with a local real estate agent and run the numbers on what a move looks like at today’s rates and prices, so you can decide based on your goals instead of the headlines.

The Home Insurance Move That Could Save You $440 a Year

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The Home Insurance Move That Could Save You $440 a Year Simplifying The Market

When you’re planning a move, every monthly cost counts. That’s why it can be frustrating to see home insurance keep creeping up. According to Intercontinental Exchange, it now makes up 9.6% of the average monthly mortgage payment. 

But the latest numbers show some progress on that front – as the increases start to slow down. Here’s what you need to know and what you can do about it.

Premiums Are Rising More Slowly Now

A look at the past two years shows how much things have cooled down. In mid-2024, home insurance premiums rose 4.3% in a single quarter. By the second quarter of this year, that was down to 1.8%. That’s the smallest quarterly growth in almost 3 years – and that’s a good thing (see graph below):

a graph of blue and green bars

As Andy Walden, Head of Mortgage and Housing Market Research at Intercontinental Exchange, explains:

“Property insurance has been a fast-growing component of the monthly mortgage payment, but this quarter’s data shows the pace of increase is finally slowing.”

While your premium will likely still go up over time, it may not climb as quickly as it did a couple of years ago. And that’s, at the very least, a step in the right direction.

Shopping Around Can Pay Off

Here’s where you have some say in what you pay. Let’s take current homeowners as an example. Intercontinental Exchange found that when homeowners shopped around and switched insurance companies, their premiums went down 6.6% on average. Those who stayed with their current company saw an increase of 10.4% (see graph below):

a graph of a number of people

Think about that. That’s a big difference and it goes to show that looking for a new provider can literally pay off. 

That works out to about $440 a year in savings for the people who switched. And they didn’t have to give up coverage to get it. Their deductibles dipped 1.4%, and their coverage limits actually rose 7.3%.

While this example is current homeowners, the same general idea applies for first-time buyers too. Shop around and get multiple quotes before you pick your insurance provider. Then, once you’re settled in, review your policy each year when it comes up for renewal. You’re not locked into the first price you get.

The Home You Choose Can Help, Too

The home itself plays a role as well. According to John Burns Research and Consulting (JBREC), newly built homes are 10% to 15% less expensive to insure than older ones nationally.

And while a brand-new home won’t necessarily be the right fit for every buyer, if you’re open to one, it could be one more way to keep your monthly insurance costs down.

Bottom Line

Home insurance is certainly a bigger part of the monthly costs than it used to be, and that can feel like just one more thing to juggle when you’re buying a home or moving. But knowing you have ways to keep it in check can take some of the pressure off. 

Compare a few options before you buy, revisit your policy each year, and lean on trusted local professionals as you plan for your next move.

Credit Scoring Is Changing: 3 Things Homebuyers Should Know

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Credit Scoring Is Changing: 3 Things Homebuyers Should Know Simplifying The Market

Quick, what credit score do you need to buy a home? If a number pops into your head, there’s a pretty good chance it’s wrong. And the right answer is getting harder to pin down, because the way credit scores are determined and delivered is changing – for the better.

Here’s what you need to know in today’s changing credit climate.

#1  Most People Are Guessing 

Fannie Mae has been tracking consumer perceptions about mortgage requirements since 2015 and found that consumers consistently overestimated the minimum credit score lenders required to qualify for a mortgage. As recently as 2023, the average guess was 652.

In reality, the long-standing benchmark for loans backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is lower, at 620, and today even that isn’t a hard rule for every mortgage they back. 

Like the Fannie Mae research, a recent survey from Veterans United found consumers continue to overestimate what it takes to qualify for a home loan:

a blue and white survey

The takeaway? Guessing wrong can cost you. 

A renter who assumes their score is too low and they can’t qualify for a mortgage may never take steps to find out for sure.

#2  Credit Rules Are Changing

For decades, the mortgage industry relied on one set of scores – Classic FICO. Thanks to a push to promote competition, make credit scoring more inclusive, and help more Americans become homeowners, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has approved the use of new credit score models such as FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0.

A different model can mean a different number for the same person. VantageScore says its model can score about 33 million adults that the Classic FICO’s model can’t. So the score you saw on an app last month may not be the one your lender pulls.

Remember: the models may be new, but the basics haven’t changed.

#3  Do Your Part And Partner With A Pro

Your credit score is important – no matter how it’s measured. Following the same basic rules will benefit your profile in the old and new score models:

a screen shot of a credit checklist

Because while credit models may change, the general advice for you to improve your score doesn’t. Financial awareness and consistency mixed with a little willpower can go a long way.

Bottom Line

Don’t make credit or homebuying decisions from a chart, an app, or a friend’s advice. With the rules shifting and so many misconceptions out there, it’s never too early to talk to a professional loan officer for advice on credit, budgeting, and what it would take to qualify for a mortgage.

You may be closer to owning a home than you think.

Who’s Buying Homes with Cash Right Now?

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Who’s Buying Homes with Cash Right Now? Simplifying The Market

Ryan Serhant, CEO of SERHANT, says there isn’t just 1 housing market right now. There are really 4: cash buyers, buyers who need a mortgage, homeowners with low mortgage rates, and builders.

Today, let’s zoom in on the 1st group – cash buyers.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), 27% of homes sold in September were bought with all cash. That’s more than 1 in 4 buyers. And that’s a pretty big number, especially when so many people are struggling with affordability.

So where is all that cash coming from? When you hear a number like that, it’s easy to picture wealthy investors buying up houses left and right. But that’s not necessarily the case. Some of those cash buyers are actually homeowners who’ve built up enough equity to buy their next home outright.

Here’s what you should know about who’s paying cash and what that really means for the market.

Who’s Paying Cash?

Cash buyers tend to fall into a few groups, according to NAR:

  • Homeowners who sold a house and are using that money to buy their next one

  • People buying a 2nd home

  • Investors

So, it’s not all those big investors social media talks about. That 1st group may include people a lot more like you. Here’s how. According to Cotality, the average homeowner with a mortgage has about $310,000 in equity.

That’s a big deal right now. Many homeowners feel stuck because they don’t want to give up the low mortgage rate they have today. But once they learn they may have enough equity to move and pay cash for their next home, today’s rates don’t matter nearly as much. Because buying in all cash means…

  • No monthly mortgage payment

  • No need to borrow at today’s mortgage rates

  • No loan approval process, so you may be able to close faster

And even if the equity won’t cover the whole purchase, putting more of it toward the next home means borrowing less. That can mean a smaller monthly payment, too.

But cash buyers like this are more common in some places than others. And how big of a segment of your local market this is, is going to depend on where you live.

For example, Realtor.com data shows cash buyers made up almost 47% of sales in Mississippi and 46% in Montana earlier this year (see map below).

Where does your state fall?

a map of the united states

According to Realtor.com, the states with the most cash buyers reflect “a mix of affordability, wealth and buyer demographics.” Think places with lower home prices, or lots of retirees and 2nd-home buyers.

So, depending on where you live, you may see a lot more (or a lot fewer) cash buyers than the national number suggests. An agent who knows your area can tell you who’s actually buying near you.

Most Buyers Are Still Using a Mortgage

And if all of this has you thinking everyone’s paying cash, they’re not. If you’re planning to buy and need a mortgage, you’re actually in the majority.

Based on NAR’s numbers, nearly 3 out of 4 home purchases still involve financing. And for homes priced between $200,000 and $750,000, only about 1 in 5 sold for cash, according to Realtor.com (see graph below):

a graph of green bars

That means most people buying in that price range are financing their purchase, too. So, there’s no need to assume you’re at a disadvantage just because you’re using a loan.

Cash Buyers and Your Move

So, what does all this mean for you? Maybe more than you think.

If you already own a house, you may have enough equity to make your next move more affordable than you realize. And if you’re buying with a mortgage, remember, you’re in good company. Most buyers are financing their purchases, too.

The takeaway? Don’t make assumptions about what’s possible based on how other people are buying homes. What really matters is your equity, your budget, and what’s happening in your local market.

Bottom Line

Cash buyers are a meaningful part of today’s market, but they aren’t the whole market.

Whether you’re hoping to put your equity to work or you’re buying with a mortgage, a local real estate agent can help you see how much equity you have, who’s buying in your area, and what that means for your next move.

Why Builders May Be More Motivated To Sell Than Homeowners

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Why Builders May Be More Motivated To Sell Than Homeowners Simplifying The Market

Here’s something most homebuyers don’t think about. When the housing market slows down, homeowners and builders don’t always respond the same way.

Think about it. If you’re selling your house and aren’t getting the offers you want, you could make the choice to take it off the market and stay put, and wait for things to improve.

But builders? They may be more motivated to stay the course.

They’ve already invested money in building those houses. And every completed home that sits unsold means money tied up in a property, plus ongoing costs that can add up.

That’s why some builders may be more motivated to negotiate right now. And that could work in your favor.

Fewer Buyers Are Making Moves. And Builders Are Feeling It.

You’ve probably seen the headlines. According to the latest report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), pending home sales – homes that have gone under contract but haven’t closed yet – fell 7.3% in September and 11.3% compared to last year.

Why? Higher mortgage rates are making it harder for buyers to make the numbers work. Now, that report tracks existing homes, not new construction. But we’re seeing signs of the same slowdown on the builder side, too. 

According to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), builder confidence dropped to 29 in October, its lowest level since June 2012. Traffic from prospective buyers also dropped to its lowest level in more than a decade, excluding the start of the pandemic.

a graph of a chart

As Robert Dietz, Chief Economist at NAHB, explains:

“Demand persists, but higher mortgage rates, elevated construction costs and weaker consumer confidence are keeping more buyers on the sidelines.”

Here’s why that matters for you. 

A homeowner may be able to wait for the right offer. But a builder with several finished houses sitting unsold may have more reason to get those homes sold sooner rather than later.

And that means they may be more willing to work with you than you think.

Builders Are Already Making Moves To Win Buyers Over

If you’ve always assumed builders don’t negotiate, take a look at what they’re actually doing. According to the latest survey from NAHB, in October:

  • 65% of builders are offering sales incentives.

  • 43% are cutting prices, the highest share recorded between 2020 and 2026.

  • And 6% is what they’re typically taking off the price.

a graph of blue and green squares

So, yes. Builders absolutely do negotiate. And with demand slowing, there’s good reason to explore just how flexible they may be right now.

That could mean asking for a lower price. But it could also mean asking for a mortgage-rate buydown, help with closing costs, or upgrades that would otherwise cost you extra. 

And here’s a tip that could make a real difference.

Don’t just look at the newest communities or the prettiest model homes. Look for builders with completed houses that haven’t sold yet.

Those are sometimes called quick move-in homes or spec homes. And the longer one of those move-in ready homes sits unsold, the more reason a builder may have to consider an offer that helps get it off their books.

Don’t Just Ask What’s Available. Ask What’s Negotiable.

Don’t assume the advertised price or incentive package is the best they’ll do.

This is where having your own agent can really pay off. An agent who knows the local market can help you compare what builders are offering, identify communities with more available homes, and understand where there’s room to negotiate.

Of course, not every builder will offer the same incentives. And some may be more flexible on closing costs or mortgage rates than on the price itself.

But that’s exactly why it pays to ask. 

The trick is knowing where to look, what to ask for, and how much room there may be to negotiate. And that’s where having your own agent is key.

Bottom Line

A homeowner who isn’t ready to accept a lower offer may be able to wait. But a builder with finished houses to sell has a different set of priorities. And that could work in your favor.

If you’re ready to buy, talk to a local agent about which builders have completed homes sitting on the market in your area see what they’re willing to offer to get them sold.

Why More Buyers Are Turning To Adjustable-Rate Mortgages Today

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Why More Buyers Are Turning To Adjustable-Rate Mortgages Today Simplifying The Market

When mortgage rates climb, buying a home can start to feel like trying to hit a moving target. Every jump in rates makes monthly payments bigger, and that pushes a lot of buyers to look for another way in.

More and more of them are finding it in the adjustable-rate mortgage, or ARM.

The ARM Option  

Here’s how an ARM differs from a more traditional mortgage. With a regular fixed-rate mortgage, your rate stays the same for your whole loan. But with an ARM, your rate is locked for the first few years, then it can move up or down based on market conditions.

Some people don’t like that level of uncertainty – and that’s okay. But others are drawn to this option specifically because there’s usually a lower rate to start when you opt for an ARM. And in an affordability-strapped market, that’s going to gain popularity. 

Bankrate recently found that, in September, rates for ARM products were over a full percentage point lower than a regular fixed-rate loan. Depending on the ARM product, that can make a difference of $150-300 in the monthly payment on a median-priced home. 

And for some buyers, that’s enough to turn “not right now” into “let’s do this.” You can see it in the numbers. Data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) shows that, in October, roughly 1 in 10 people applying for a mortgage chose an ARM (see graph below):

a blue pie chart with text

If you think you may want to consider this yourself, here’s what you need to know about how it works.

The 5/1 ARM

An ARM is like a phone or cable plan that has an introductory deal for new customers. You start out at a lower price, and then it adjusts after a specified amount of time. A popular loan is the 5/1 ARM.

The “5” means your introductory rate is locked for the first five years, and the “1” means that the rate can change every year after that. The rate change is called the “reset.” And here’s the really important part.

When your rate resets, your mortgage payment could go up or down. The good news is that most ARMs have caps, which are limits on how much your rate can rise each year and over the life of the loan. But either way, you have to be ready. 

The Upsides and Potential Downsides

To see if this type of loan may be right for you, here are some things to think about and discuss with your loan officer:

a blue and white rectangular box with white text

Before you decide, ask your lender to work up the numbers and walk you through the different potential scenarios you could run into with an ARM. That way, you go in with your eyes open.

Be Ready for the Reset

And, if you do go with an adjustable-rate mortgage, just know that you’ll have choices when the reset time arrives. You could:

  • Do nothing and keep your loan in place if the new payment still fits your budget.

  • Refinance into a fixed-rate loan with a payment that never changes.

  • Refinance into another ARM with a new lower rate locked for a specified timeframe.

  • Sell your home.

  • Talk to the loan servicer about assistance or modification.

Remember, a refinance is a brand-new loan that you’ll have to qualify for – even if it’s on a home you already own. So, keep tabs on your credit and debt levels and ask your loan officer how major financial moves like job changes and major purchases will affect your mortgage readiness. It’s important to keep your credit and finances in “mortgage shape.”

Today’s ARMs Aren’t Like 2008

One more quick note. ARMs got a bad name after the financial crisis of 2008. Back then, there were some risky loans with small starting payments that later shot way up. Others let people borrow without proving how much money they earned.

But now, there are new laws to protect both borrowers and lenders. The biggest change is the Ability-to-Repay Rule, which says that before a lender makes a home loan, it has to check real paperwork (like pay stubs, W-2 forms, and tax returns) to make sure you can afford it. The lender also has to look at what your payment could be after the reset, not just the low starting payment. 

So, you don’t have to worry that today’s ARMs are the same as the ones we saw back during the crash.

Bottom Line

Today’s market has more options than many people realize. Finding the right one could be as simple as getting more information about tools like ARMs. A trusted lender can run the numbers with you, walk you through the what-ifs, and help you explore the possibilities.

Is an ARM a good option for you? Talk to a loan officer to find out.

Confused by Home Price Headlines? Here’s Why.

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Confused by Home Price Headlines? Here’s Why. Simplifying The Market

Whether you own a house already or you’re looking to buy one, you probably care about home prices. But it’s not always easy to figure out what’s really happening right now, especially if you look at the headlines.

One says home prices are falling. The next says they’re still climbing.

So, which one’s right? It comes down to where you live.

What’s Really Going on with Asking Prices

Part of the confusion out there may be based on what’s happening to asking prices and how the media is talking about it. They’re calling attention to how asking prices are falling, but don’t give the full context or say that seasonality is at play. So here it is.

Right now, there are more homes on the market than at any other time since November 2019. And with mortgage rates rising since the spring, those homes are taking a little longer to sell. One way to help a home sell quickly in that environment is to have a lower asking price.

According to HousingWire Data, the median asking price is down from $449k in early August to $435k just 2 months later (see graph below):

a graph with green line

That’s a dip of about 3%, and a lot of it is normal for this time of year.

Asking prices cool off every fall once the busy summer season wraps up. With fewer buyers this time of year, sellers price a bit more competitively. Today’s rates play a role too, since sellers are pricing to match what buyers can afford right now. And that’s a good thing. Smart pricing helps homes sell.

Just keep in mind, that’s a national list price. It doesn’t show what homes near you are actually selling for. So before you react to a headline, ask a local agent what’s really happening in your area.

Where You Live Changes Everything

Realtor.com explains:

“While national headlines might suggest a buyer’s market is taking hold, the reality on the ground depends heavily on where and what you’re trying to buy. Local trends can diverge sharply from national averages, especially when you factor in price range, property type, and post-pandemic market dynamics.”

The latest numbers from S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Index show how true that is. Over the past year, sales prices in Chicago rose almost 7%. In Seattle, they dipped about 1.6%. That’s a gap of nearly 9 percentage points between two major cities (see graph below):

a graph of a price

That gap changes your game plan. Selling in New York, where prices are up almost 6%? You may not need to cut your price. Buying in Denver or Las Vegas? You may have more room to negotiate.

Why You Don’t Need To Worry About a Crash

Just in case you’re seeing those slight declines in some markets and worried it means a bigger crash is coming, here’s what you need to remember. Even in the major metros where prices are down, the declines are 2% or less. That’s a long way from a crash like 2008. And if you look back at the graph above, there are more cities in the green than in the red.

And over time, home values have a strong track record. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) says national prices have grown year-over-year every quarter since 2012. Go back further, and a $100k home bought in 1991 would be worth about $436k today, even with the 2008 crash factored in (see graph below):

a graph with a line going up

So, this short-term dip probably won’t stick around. The small declines we’re seeing now are in markets that overheated during the pandemic. As a whole, the market is headed back to normal – and normal means prices should rise over time.

Bottom Line

National headlines can’t tell you what your home is worth or how much room you have to negotiate. Local data can. If you’re thinking about buying or selling, connect with a local real estate agent to look at how prices are moving in your area, so you can set your price or make your offer with confidence.

Want a More Affordable Home? Don’t Overlook Condos.

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Want a More Affordable Home? Don’t Overlook Condos. Simplifying The Market

When you picture buying your first home, chances are you’re imagining a traditional single-family house with its own yard, maybe a garage, and little extra room to grow. But with affordability still tight, getting everything on that list right away may come with a higher price tag than you’re comfortable with right now.

So, if you’re running the numbers and buying a house like that feels like a stretch, there may be another way in. A condo.

Because in a lot of markets, condos come with a significantly lower price tag. And that could make them a smart way to get your foot in the door.

Condos Can Cost Less Than You Think

According to a recent study by Zillow: 

“Condos are the most commonly affordable home type in virtually every metro. At the starter level, the savings can be pretty significant. Nationally, starter condos average $197,468 — that’s about 6% less than the typical starter home.”

And depending on where you live, the difference can be much bigger. 

Zillow identified metro areas where typical starter condos are priced significantly below the estimated home price a median-income household could afford. Here are the top 10 according to that research (see chart below).

In Houston, the gap is at its widest. There, a typical starter condo was valued at about $85,600 – 72% below the price considered affordable based on the area’s median household income.

a blue and white chart with white text 

Of course, every market is different. But the bigger point is this: if you’ve only been searching for traditional single-family houses, you may be overlooking some of the more affordable options on the market.

And even if your city didn’t make this list, that’s okay. The trend holds true in many places across the country. Here’s why.

A Condo Could Give You a Different Way In

Part of the reason condos can cost less is pretty straightforward. They’re typically smaller. And less square footage can mean a lower purchase price.

So, if you can make do with a bit less space or you’re coming from a smaller apartment now, this can be a great way in. Plus, on the upside, you won’t have to buy a ton of furniture to fill out a bigger house. You can get a potentially lower price up front and spend less once you move in because you’ll need less new stuff to fill that empty space.

And more buyers are making that trade off on space to offset the current affordability challenges. Ali Wolf, Chief Economist for New Home Source, explains:

“In addition to favoring smaller floor plans, more consumers are showing a willingness to live in an attached home. This shift is not driven by a preference for shared walls, but by a pursuit of value.”

That’s really the heart of it. Looking at condos isn’t necessarily about wanting less. It’s about finding another way to make your move happen with the budget you have.

Don’t Rule Out an Option That Could Work

If you’ve been struggling to find a house you like at a price you can comfortably afford, talk to your agent about adding condos to your search.

You may find something in a neighborhood you thought was outside your budget. You could get access to amenities you wouldn’t otherwise have. And you may be able to become a homeowner sooner rather than waiting for the numbers on a single-family house to work.

While there are trade-offs like shared walls, less outdoor space, and an HOA fee to factor into your monthly budget, maybe that’s worth it if you finally get your own set of keys.

Plus, a lot of the times, a condo community comes with great amenities like pools, gyms, and the condo association handles at least some of the maintenance. Which is closer to what you’re used to from your apartment – it could make the transition to homeowner not just more affordable, but that much easier too.

Bottom Line

The first home you buy doesn’t have to be a single-family house. If affordability has been holding you back, talk to a local agent about expanding your search and see whether a condo could fit the price point you’re looking for.

Why There are More Homes for Sale Right Now (and What It Means for You)

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Why There are More Homes for Sale Right Now (and What It Means for You) Simplifying The Market

Mortgage rates being back above 7% isn’t exactly the news most people wanted. But it’s changing the market in ways that matter whether you’re buying or selling.

The number of homes for sale is growing faster than it was this time last year. And interestingly, the main reason isn’t a flood of new listings. It’s because homes aren’t selling as quickly.

Here’s why – and what that means if you’re thinking about buying or selling.

Inventory Growth Is Picking Up Steam

According to HousingWire Data, after inventory growth slowed down for most of the past year, it’s accelerated again in recent weeks. You can see that in the graph below. Just look at the blue line:

a graph of growth and growth

And what’s behind this shift might surprise you.

When rates rise, some buyers hit pause. That means fewer homes sell each week. And as those unsold homes stay on the market alongside new listings, the number available starts to grow (see the blue line in the graph below).

Here’s another way to look at it to make it even more obvious. The graph below shows the relationship between rates and inventory. Again, this year is the blue line. Last year? That’s the green.

With rates inching up this year, you can see inventory has grown by about 25k. But when rates went down this time last year, buyers jumped back in, and inventory actually dropped by about 9k.

a graph of growth and growth of a mortgage

Logan Mohtashami, Lead Analyst at HousingWire, explains how that’s flipped from 2025 to 2026:

“With mortgage rates over 7%, demand tends to soften and inventory rises . . .”

Homes Are Spending More Time on the Market

Here’s another metric that shows the impact rates are having: time on market. Data from Realtor.com shows the typical home spent 61 days on the market this September. Back in September 2021, it was just 41 days (see graph below):

a graph of sales growth

Here’s what that tells us. In 2021, when rates were low, more buyers were active, and homes sold fast. But now that rates are a bit higher, not as many buyers are interested, so it takes a bit longer to close a deal.

How To Make This Market Work for You

So, what does all of this mean for your plans? That depends on which side of the move you’re on:

If you’re buying, more homes for sale means more choices and less pressure to rush. And more room to negotiate too. A house that’s been sitting for a while could have a seller who’s more willing to talk – not just about price, but repairs, closing costs, or even helping buy down your mortgage rate.

That doesn’t mean every seller will play ball. But compared to the frenzy of a few years ago, buyers have more leverage now.

If you’re selling, the right strategy can make all the difference. Buyers have more homes to choose from, so making yours stand out is especially important. That starts with pricing it right from day one, making a great first impression, and working with your agent to highlight what makes your house worth choosing. Buyers are still buying and homes are still selling. The key is making sure yours is positioned to attract the right buyer.

The market hasn’t stopped. It’s just moving at a different pace. And whether you’re buying or selling, your strategy needs to move with it.

Bottom Line

In many places right now, inventory is growing and homes are taking a bit longer to sell. And that’s information that should shape the strategy you use going in.

Whether you’re buying or selling, connect with a local real estate agent to look at how long homes are taking to sell in your neighborhood, so your offer, or your price, fits today’s market.

Why Most People Are Still Glad They Bought a Home

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Why Most People Are Still Glad They Bought a Home Simplifying The Market

With everything going on, it’s understandable if you’re wondering if you’d regret buying right now. 

Everyday expenses cost more. Mortgage rates are higher than you’d like. And when the economy feels uncertain, taking on a mortgage can feel like a much bigger leap. But here’s some perspective that may help…

Most people who already made that leap would do it again.

According to a recent survey from NerdWallet, the vast majority of recent buyers (74%) were glad they bought their current home. Only a very small 3% of people regret it:

a graph with text on it

And here’s a big reason why so many people feel it was worth it, even now.

Homeownership Is a Long-Term Play

When you’re deciding whether to buy, it’s easy to focus on what’s happening right now. What’s today’s mortgage rate? Are prices going up or down? Those things matter. But don’t get so caught up in buying in the perfect moment that you miss the bigger picture.

A home isn’t typically something you buy for just a year or two. It’s a longer-term play. And when you zoom out, it all starts to fall into perspective – especially if you look at home prices and equity.

According to data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), home prices nationally have risen 33.4% over just the past five years (see map below):

a map of the united states

And that appreciation has helped current homeowners build some serious wealth. Research from Bankrate shows homeowners gained an average of nearly $150,000 in wealth over the past five years as equity steadily rose across 90% of major metro areas.

That’s one of the biggest benefits of homeownership. As you pay down your mortgage and your home appreciates over time, your ownership stake – your equity – can grow.

Now, Zoom Out Even Further

The five-year numbers are impressive. But the numbers get even more dramatic when you look at decades instead of individual market cycles.

FHFA data shows home prices nationally have risen 336% since 1991. Sit with that for a second. Three hundred percent (see map below):

a map of the united states with numbers and a number of states 

That doesn’t mean prices go up every single year. And it doesn’t mean buying is automatically the right decision for everyone today. You should only buy when the numbers (and the payment) work for you.

What it does show is why trying to perfectly time the market can make you miss the bigger picture. 

Over time, homeowners gain a lot of equity. And that equity can eventually become a powerful financial resource. As Freddie Mac explains: 

“Your home’s equity is part of your total wealth as a homeowner. If you decide to sell your home, the equity you have built over time will come back to you in the sale. . .

If it’s time to upsize or downsize, you can use that cash for the down payment on your next home.”

Basically, if you can afford to do it, buying a home now could set you up for future moves.

And just in case you’re someone who’s worried about what happens if prices do fall, after you buy, remember: you’re not buying for one year.

Prices can dip. They have before. But historically, they’ve risen far more over the long run. And the longer you own your home, the more time you have to ride out those ups and downs and keep building equity.

Bottom Line

Don’t let today’s uncertainty make you lose sight of what homeownership can do over time. Most homeowners say they’d make the same choice again. And decades of home-price growth help explain why.

If you’re wondering whether buying makes sense for you right now, connect with an agent to look at the numbers together – and what owning a home could mean for you in the years ahead.